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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Luton Town

Derby
2 - 2
Luton

Lawrence (20'), Knight (60')
Lawrence (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Onyedinma (49'), Adebayo (84')
Naismith (14'), Ruddock (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawLuton Town
30.81%28.8%40.39%
Both teams to score 44.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26%61.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46%81.54%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95%73.05%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 30.8%
    Luton Town 40.38%
    Draw 28.8%
Derby CountyDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.8%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.09%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Derby vs Luton

Derby County
35.3%
Draw
30.6%
Luton Town
34.1%
85
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-0
Luton
Gregory (7'), Shinnie (49' pen.)
Wisdom (47'), Sibley (51'), Byrne (66'), Kazim-Richards (90+5')

Dewsbury-Hall (66'), Pearson (81')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
2-1
Derby
Berry (34'), Clark (87')
Norrington-Davies (22'), Ruddock (90+4')
Marriott (52')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
3-2
Derby
Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)
Ruddock (70')
Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')
Bogle (23'), Hamer (88'), Rooney (88'), Wisdom (94')
Lowe (88')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
2-0
Luton
Pearson (11' og.), Lawrence (70')
Shinnie (76')
Apr 20, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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