Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
1 - 0
Peterborough

Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 2-1 Peterborough United

In what will certainly be a hard-fought game, given the circumstances of a true six-pointer, this could go either way, but we just give the edge to the hosts. Rooney's men have shown their heart and desire over the course of the campaign, and, with the chance to leapfrog the Posh and take a step closer to a seemingly unlikely survival, their fighting spirit could again come on show. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Peterborough United
55.18%	23.96%	20.85%

Both teams to score 50.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39%

50.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48%

72.52%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79%

18.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77%

49.23%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19%

38.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.45%

75.55%

Score Analysis

Derby County 55.17%

Peterborough United 20.85%

Draw 23.96%

Derby County	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.17%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.96%	0-1 @ 6.69% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.85%