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FA Cup
Cambridge United
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Luton Town

Cambridge
0 - 3
Luton


May (46'), Digby (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burke (16'), Mendes Gomes (23'), Muskwe (88')
Onyedinma (57'), Kioso (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Luton Town

 On home turf, Cambridge will fancy their chances of pulling off another shock – particularly against a Luton side whose priority will now be the Championship playoff race. We think there is a high chance that this tie will go to extra time or even penalties, but we think that the Yellows will be victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawLuton Town
29.7%25.52%44.78%
Both teams to score 53.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18%49.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19%71.81%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18%30.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9%67.1%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37%55.62%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 29.7%
    Luton Town 44.77%
    Draw 25.51%
Cambridge UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.7%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.77%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Luton

Cambridge United
41.0%
Luton Town
59.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Luton
Ibehre (83')
Deegan (34')
Collins (33')
Downes (57'), Collins (73'), Potts (79')
Collins (76')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Luton
7-0
Cambridge
Potts (24'), Lee (31'), Hylton (35', 81', 90'), Lee (45', 88')
Lee (19'), Hylton (32'), Shinnie (37')

Lewis (63'), Brown (90')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Luton
2-0
Cambridge
Vassell (33'), Cook (82' pen.)

Carroll (59'), Newton (67'), Legge (71')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Cambridge
0-3
Luton

Clark (33')
Coulson, Marriott (63'), Hylton (96')
O'Donnell (40'), Rea (60'), Hylton (86')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
Luton
0-0
Cambridge
Smith (45'), Marriott (54'), McQuoid (65'), Benson (74'), Lawless (80')
Dunne (70'), Donaldson (79')
rhs 2.0
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