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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Luton
1 - 1
Plymouth

Brown (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Talovierov (70')
Szucs (77'), Bundu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Plymouth Argyle

After missing a plethora of chances against Sheffield United on the weekend, Luton have the perfect opportunity to break their Kenilworth Roal goal drought as Plymouth come to town on Wednesday night. The Pilgrims have shown major signs of improvement since the arrival of Muslic, although we feel that they will need to wait even longer for their maiden away success of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
63.23% (0.052 0.05) 22.14% (-0.035 -0.04) 14.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.099000000000004 0.1)52.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74% (0.084999999999997 0.08)74.25% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)16.08% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.093000000000004 0.09)45.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.4% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.07% (0.025000000000002 0.03)82.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 63.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.63%
    Draw 22.13%
Luton TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 13.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 63.22%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.63%

How you voted: Luton vs Plymouth

Luton Town
55.8%
Draw
17.5%
Plymouth Argyle
26.7%
120
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Plymouth
3-1
Luton
Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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