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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
46.62% ( 0.16) | 24.67% ( -0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% ( 0.04) | 46.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( 0.04) | 68.96% ( -0.04) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( 0.09) | 20.1% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% ( 0.14) | 52.35% ( -0.14) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% ( -0.08) | 29.93% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( -0.09) | 66.04% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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