Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.