MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:26:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2024 at 12pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Millwall logo

Coventry
2 - 1
Millwall

Wright (67' pen., 70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esse (12')
Esse (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Millwall

Having pushed Hull last time out, Millwall will feel that they can do the same against the Sky Blues. Nevertheless, we are backing Coventry to bounce back from their recent league disappointments with a hard-earned triumph over the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Coventry City.

Result
Coventry CityDrawMillwall
54.13% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.92% (-0.145 -0.15) 20.95% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.39% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (0.35 0.35)54.2% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.293 0.29)75.6% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.27 0.27)19.99% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (0.433 0.43)52.17% (-0.433 -0.43)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)40.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.34% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 54.13%
    Millwall 20.95%
    Draw 24.92%
Coventry CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 20.95%

How you voted: Coventry vs Millwall

Coventry City
75.9%
Draw
13.0%
Millwall
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
0-3
Coventry

Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
1-1
Coventry
Saville (21')
Saville (52'), Wallace (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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