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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Millwall

Gibson (60')
Gibson (45+3'), Burger (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (42')
Esse (53'), Wintle (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Stoke
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Millwall

After hard-fought wins over Burnley and Leeds at The Den, we feel that Millwall could run out of steam on the road in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon. A drop in energy levels from the Lions should open the door for Stoke to collect their third straight victory in the Championship ahead of the international pause. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
39.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 27.75% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 32.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)57.71% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.46% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)63.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.97%
    Millwall 32.28%
    Draw 27.74%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
Millwall
38.1%
42
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-0
Millwall
Rose (47')
Mitchell (18'), Cooper (66'), Harding (79')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Millwall
1-0
Stoke
Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1910722471737
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1994633221131
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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