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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
39.97% ( -0.03) | 27.75% ( 0.01) | 32.28% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.29% ( -0.04) | 57.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( -0.03) | 78.46% ( 0.03) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.04) | 28.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.05) | 63.94% ( 0.05) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( -0.01) | 33.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( -0.01) | 69.65% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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