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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Derby

Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
45.68%28.03%26.29%
Both teams to score 44.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08%60.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06%80.93%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83%76.17%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.67%
    Derby County 26.29%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.91%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
68.8%
Draw
16.7%
Derby County
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
0-1
Derby
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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