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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
42.55% | 29.38% | 28.08% |
Both teams to score 42.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.59% | 64.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.53% | 83.47% |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% | 30.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% | 66.17% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.08% | 39.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.42% | 76.58% |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.96% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.35% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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