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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Cardiff

Scanlon (2'), De Norre (19')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Willock (45+1'), Salech (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-0 Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Cardiff City

Millwall have struggled offensively this season, while Cardiff have had issues at the back, so expect a close-fought affair regardless of the result. That being said, the hosts' lack of attacking output means that they are unlikely to score more than once, so if the visitors find their shooting boots then the game could slip away from the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
48.54% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 27.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.75% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)61.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.69% (0.02 0.02)81.31% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)78.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.53%
    Cardiff City 23.75%
    Draw 27.7%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 48.53%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
31.3%
Draw
17.2%
Cardiff City
51.6%
64
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Ng (39')
Chambers (26')

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
3-1
Cardiff
Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
Meite (24')
Collins (69')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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