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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 1pm UK
The Den
Oxford United

Millwall
0 - 1
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (57')
Brannagan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Millwall
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Oxford United

Oxford have enjoyed the benefits of the new manager bounce, having recorded back-to-back home wins in Rowett's first two matches in charge. However, the U's will now face a Millwall side who will be hoping to experience their own new manager bounce, and with that in mind, we think that the visitors will have to settle for a share of the spoils in Wednesday's away clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawOxford United
54.64% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07) 26.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.01% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 41.06% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (0.119 0.12)61.1% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (0.09 0.09)81.07% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.018999999999991 0.02)22.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)56.2% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05% (0.171 0.17)46.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (0.129 0.13)82.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 54.63%
    Oxford United 19.01%
    Draw 26.33%
MillwallDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 15.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.01%

How you voted: Millwall vs Oxford Utd

Millwall
64.6%
Draw
20.8%
Oxford United
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
1-1
Millwall
Goodrham (85')
Tanganga (45')
Tanganga (3'), Leonard (59'), Bryan (64'), Saville (90+1')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Millwall
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties)
Sykes (87'), Henry (94' pen.)
Sykes (58'), Mousinho (69'), Hanson (73'), Berkoe (80')
Dadi Bodvarsson (29', 52')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 1pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Millwall
Sercombe (31')
Skarz (26'), Edwards (52'), Rothwell (65'), Maguire (68')
Morison (36'), O'Brien (50')
Romeo (9'), Thompson (23'), Ferguson (67'), Morison (93')
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Oxford Utd
0-1
Millwall
Gregory (54')
Cummings (59'), Beevers (62')
Beevers (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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