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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
The Den
QPR logo

Millwall
2 - 0
QPR

Bradshaw (45+3'), Wallace (90+1')
Emakhu (32'), Honeyman (44'), Wallace (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dunne (9'), Smyth (37'), Chair (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Millwall were able to keep their first clean sheet in six matches last time out, but the Lions failed to consistently threaten a Stoke side who have been in a real rut of late. QPR were impressive in stages of their contest with Southampton despite defeat, so we reckon that the R's will produce a plucky away performance to earn maximum points at The Den on Boxing Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
44.21% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 27.84% (0.035 0.04) 27.96% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.94% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.53% (-0.105 -0.11)59.47% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)79.83% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)26.77% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.116 -0.12)62.05% (0.115 0.12)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)37.26% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)74.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 44.2%
    Queens Park Rangers 27.96%
    Draw 27.83%
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 27.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs QPR

Millwall
25.0%
Draw
30.0%
Queens Park Rangers
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
1-2
Millwall
Martin (82')
Watmore (31'), Burke (78')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
0-2
QPR
Willock (54'), Johansen (71')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
2-0
QPR
Bennett (48'), Burey (64')
Wallace (59'), Burey (65')

Dickie (45+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
QPR
1-1
Millwall
Dickie (31')
Wallace (11')
Ballard (15'), Wallace (43'), Saville (59')
Mar 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
QPR
3-2
Millwall
Austin (51'), Johansen (67'), De Wijs (86')
de Wijs (56'), Johansen (88')
Wallace (6'), Bennett (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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