Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
The Den
We said: Millwall 1-2 Queens Park Rangers
Millwall were able to keep their first clean sheet in six matches last time out, but the Lions failed to consistently threaten a Stoke side who have been in a real rut of late.
QPR were impressive in stages of their contest with Southampton despite defeat, so we reckon that the R's will produce a plucky away performance to earn maximum points at The Den on Boxing Day.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.21% . A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.55%) . The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result Millwall Draw Queens Park Rangers 44.21% ( -0.08) 27.84% ( 0.04) 27.96% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.94% ( -0.08)
40.53% ( -0.11) 59.47% ( 0.1)
20.17% ( -0.08) 79.83% ( 0.08)
73.23% ( -0.09) 26.77% ( 0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.96% ( -0.12) 62.05% ( 0.12)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
62.74% ( -0.03) 37.26% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.95% ( -0.02) 74.05% ( 0.02)
Millwall 44.2%
Queens Park Rangers 27.96%
Draw 27.83%
Millwall Draw Queens Park Rangers 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.2% 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.83% 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.96%
How you voted: Millwall vs QPR
Millwall
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
20
rhs 2.0
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