Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Oct 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 0
Watford

Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Davis (22'), Kamara (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is not a great deal separating the two sides, so we expect this one to finish as a draw. Millwall have been impressive at home so far during this campaign, but Watford recorded a good win against Norwich last time out, and they will be coming into the game full of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Watford
46.53% ( 0.81)	27.85% ( 0.07)	25.62% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 44.34% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.29% (

-0.72)

60.7% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.23% (

-0.54)

80.77% (

0.54)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

0.07)

26.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76% (

0.1)

61.24% (

-0.1)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05% (

-1.18)

39.95% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

-1.1)

76.6% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Millwall 46.52%

Watford 25.62%

Draw 27.83%

Millwall	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.62%