Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
The Den
Millwall3 - 0Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 2-2 Watford
There is not a great deal separating the two sides, so we expect this one to finish as a draw. Millwall have been impressive at home so far during this campaign, but Watford recorded a good win against Norwich last time out, and they will be coming into the game full of confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Watford |
46.53% ( 0.81) | 27.85% ( 0.07) | 25.62% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.29% ( -0.72) | 60.7% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.23% ( -0.54) | 80.77% ( 0.54) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( 0.07) | 26.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.1) | 61.24% ( -0.1) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( -1.18) | 39.95% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.4% ( -1.1) | 76.6% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 46.52%
Watford 25.62%
Draw 27.83%
| Millwall | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.62% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Watford
Millwall
41.5%Draw
30.5%Watford
28.0%82
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
