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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 2
Preston

Jutkiewicz (83')
Mejbri (32'), Chong (45+1'), Bacuna (79'), Jutkiewicz (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Brady (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

Birmingham needed that cup win against Forest Green to prevent a full-blown panic from commencing amongst supporters, but they must now back that victory up with a respectable performance and result in the Championship this weekend. Preston will be desperate to put that heavy defeat to Norwich behind them, and with key players returning to the fold for this game they should be good enough for a point at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.52% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.21% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.55% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.17%
    Preston North End 34.3%
    Draw 28.51%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
45.8%
Draw
28.8%
Preston North End
25.4%
59
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-0
Preston

Bela (45+1')

Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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