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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Preston North End |
37.17% ( 0.01) | 28.52% ( 0) | 34.3% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.79% ( -0.01) | 60.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.6% ( -0.01) | 80.4% ( 0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% ( 0) | 31.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.56% ( 0) | 67.45% ( 0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( -0.01) | 32.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( -0.01) | 69.55% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |