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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 2
Preston

Jutkiewicz (83')
Mejbri (32'), Chong (45+1'), Bacuna (79'), Jutkiewicz (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Brady (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

Birmingham needed that cup win against Forest Green to prevent a full-blown panic from commencing amongst supporters, but they must now back that victory up with a respectable performance and result in the Championship this weekend. Preston will be desperate to put that heavy defeat to Norwich behind them, and with key players returning to the fold for this game they should be good enough for a point at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.52% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.21% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.55% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.17%
    Preston North End 34.3%
    Draw 28.51%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
45.8%
Draw
28.8%
Preston North End
25.4%
59
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-0
Preston

Bela (45+1')

Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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