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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Burnley


Giannoulis (12'), Omobamidele (16'), Dowell (42'), Nunez (83'), Idah (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Brownhill (29'), Barnes (40'), Roberts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Burnley

Despite their different trajectories throughout the campaign, this should prove to be an intriguing fixture which should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion. There is a feeling that both sides would probably accept a draw if it was offered to them beforehand, and it leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
39.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 26.77% (-0.214 -0.21) 33.82% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.736 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.905 0.91)53.66% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.757 0.76)75.15% (-0.758 -0.76)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.372 0.37)26.63% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.49 0.49)61.87% (-0.491 -0.49)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.651 0.65)29.97% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.778 0.78)66.08% (-0.779 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 39.4%
    Burnley 33.82%
    Draw 26.77%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Burnley
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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