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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
39.41% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( -0.21) | 33.82% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% ( 0.91) | 53.66% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% ( 0.76) | 75.15% ( -0.76) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( 0.37) | 26.63% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( 0.49) | 61.87% ( -0.49) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( 0.65) | 29.97% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.78) | 66.08% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.4% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 1% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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