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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Sunderland |
40.89% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( 0.04) | 33.34% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( -0.17) | 49.59% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% ( -0.15) | 71.61% ( 0.15) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( -0.03) | 24% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% ( -0.05) | 58.25% ( 0.05) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( -0.15) | 28.27% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% ( -0.19) | 63.98% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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