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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
32.07% ( 1.99) | 25.21% ( 1.1) | 42.72% ( -3.08) |
Both teams to score 55.97% ( -2.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( -4.07) | 47.52% ( 4.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% ( -3.88) | 69.73% ( 3.88) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -0.72) | 28.07% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.27% ( -0.92) | 63.73% ( 0.93) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( -3.05) | 22.2% ( 3.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.4% ( -4.81) | 55.6% ( 4.82) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 7.92% ( 1.13) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.69) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.99) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.61) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.42) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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