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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Swansea logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Swansea

Molumby (45+1')
Molumby (10'), Ajayi (20'), Heggem (36'), Tymon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Swansea City

West Brom managed to keep a dangerous Leeds United side quiet a fortnight ago at The Hawthorns, meaning that the Baggies will be confident of doing the same against Swansea this time around. The visitors will be desperate to respond following a shock defeat to Wycombe on Wednesday, but we believe that the Welsh side are set to suffer another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
41.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.085999999999999 0.09)48.65% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)70.77% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.09% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)56.93% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.067999999999998 0.07)28.27% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)63.99% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.88%
    Swansea City 32.61%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: West Brom vs Swansea

West Bromwich Albion
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
Swansea City
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-0
West Brom
Cullen (55')
Cabango (18'), Tymon (49')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
3-2
Swansea
Ajayi (18'), Rushworth (50' og.), Swift (64' pen.)
Furlong (39'), Corberan Vallet (40'), Palmer (90+8'), Chalobah (90+7')
Darling (74'), Wood (80')
Cabango (48'), Cooper (57'), Darling (62'), Wood (71')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
3-2
West Brom
Cundle (26'), Ntcham (66'), Piroe (90+3')
Yokuslu (13'), Ajayi (54')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
2-3
Swansea
Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
West Brom
0-2
Swansea
Piroe (79'), Christie (84')
Downes (33'), Cabango (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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