We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Swansea City
West Brom managed to keep a dangerous Leeds United side quiet a fortnight ago at The Hawthorns, meaning that the Baggies will be confident of doing the same against Swansea this time around.
The visitors will be desperate to respond following a shock defeat to Wycombe on Wednesday, but we believe that the Welsh side are set to suffer another loss.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.