Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
2 - 4
Millwall

Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Saville (19'), Long (21'), McNamara (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Millwall

This game is an opportunity for two sides that were not fancied for promotion pushes this season to head into the World Cup break inside the top six of the Championship. Preston have been in good form of late and considering the Lilywhites' defensive record, it could be three points and a clean sheet for the hosts against a Millwall side who struggle to pose an attacking threat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Millwall
39.27% ( 0.09)	28.77% ( 0.01)	31.95% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.6% (

-0.06)

61.39% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.71% (

-0.05)

81.29% (

0.05)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

0.02)

30.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

0.02)

66.64% (

-0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.76% (

-0.11)

35.23% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-0.11)

71.99% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 39.26%

Millwall 31.94%

Draw 28.76%

Preston North End	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.26%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 31.94%