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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Millwall logo

Preston
2 - 4
Millwall

Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Saville (19'), Long (21'), McNamara (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Millwall

This game is an opportunity for two sides that were not fancied for promotion pushes this season to head into the World Cup break inside the top six of the Championship. Preston have been in good form of late and considering the Lilywhites' defensive record, it could be three points and a clean sheet for the hosts against a Millwall side who struggle to pose an attacking threat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
39.27% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 28.77% (0.012 0.01) 31.95% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.6% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)61.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.71% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)81.29% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.018999999999991 0.02)30.43% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)66.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)35.23% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.109 -0.11)71.99% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 39.26%
    Millwall 31.94%
    Draw 28.76%
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.26%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Preston vs Millwall

Preston North End
60.6%
Draw
28.8%
Millwall
10.6%
66
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
Oct 28, 2020 7pm
Preston
0-2
Millwall

Johnson (71'), Browne (90+1')
Zohore (54'), Wallace (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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