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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
2 - 1
West Brom

Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Mitchell (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
O'Shea (68'), Bartley (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although West Brom possess the quality to post a second away win in succession, it is difficult to ignore Millwall's recent run of results. As the only team to have posted maximum points for three matches, we feel that the Lions will extend that streak at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.18% (0.0040000000000049 0) 29.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)65.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)83.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 30.96%
    Draw 29.85%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.29%
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
76.9%
Draw
5.8%
West Bromwich Albion
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Pearce (57' og.)
Ajayi (67')
Smith (75')
Wallace (62'), Thompson (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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