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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
51.66% ( -0.02) | 25.09% ( 0) | 23.24% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.43% ( -0) | 52.57% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.77% ( -0) | 74.22% ( -0) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -0.01) | 20.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -0.02) | 52.74% ( 0.01) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.43% ( 0.02) | 37.57% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.65% ( 0.02) | 74.35% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.66% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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