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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Preston North End logo

Swansea
4 - 2
Preston

Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cabango (45+1'), Latibeaudiere (84'), Darling (90+9')
Allen (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Lindsay (30'), Hughes (43'), Cannon (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Preston North End

Swansea have been playing with no fear over the past month and will be confident of earning their fifth win in six games by dispatching Preston on Wednesday night. The Lilywhites will be desperate to head into Saturday's enormous clash with Blackburn after a positive result in this one, but we believe Lowe's men will taste defeat in back-to-back away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
51.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.09% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.57% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.66%
    Preston North End 23.25%
    Draw 25.08%
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Swansea vs Preston

Swansea City
70.0%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
18.6%
70
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Swansea
0-1
Preston

Guehi (45'), Lowe (64')
Grimes (90+1' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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