We said: Preston North End 2-1 Sunderland
Preston will be looking for a response following their EFL Cup exit in the week, and they will be presented with a chance to put things right against Sunderland on Saturday.
The Black Cats were stunned by both Ipswich and Crewe at the Stadium of Light over the last week, and we are expecting a third loss in succession for Mowbray's men.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match.