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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
39.7% ( -0.37) | 24.88% ( -0.06) | 35.42% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.77% ( 0.35) | 45.23% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.43% ( 0.34) | 67.57% ( -0.34) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -0.03) | 22.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( -0.04) | 56.32% ( 0.04) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( 0.41) | 24.94% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( 0.57) | 59.58% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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