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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Swansea


Gibbs (81')
McCallum (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Grimes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-2 Preston
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Swansea City

Both teams know that victory is realistically the only option on Saturday, and that should lead to a thrilling spectacle. While Norwich may hold the lead at some point, Swansea are playing with a renewed belief that could result in them earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
41.47% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 26.16%32.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.012 -0.01)73.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.91% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.47%
    Swansea City 32.37%
    Draw 26.16%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
48.5%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
gameweek 18
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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