Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 3
Swansea

Gibbs (81')
McCallum (42')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Grimes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 4-2 Preston
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Swansea City

Both teams know that victory is realistically the only option on Saturday, and that should lead to a thrilling spectacle. While Norwich may hold the lead at some point, Swansea are playing with a renewed belief that could result in them earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Swansea City
41.47% ( 0.06)	26.16%	32.37% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

-0.01)

51.48% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

-0.01)

73.28% (

0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

0.02)

24.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

0.03)

59.02% (

-0.03)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-0.04)

29.83% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.05)

65.91% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 41.47%

Swansea City 32.37%

Draw 26.16%

Norwich City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.47%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.37%