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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 6pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Luton Town

QPR
0 - 3
Luton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Doughty (43'), Clark (67'), Ruddock (72'), Potts (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 QPR
Monday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Luton Town

On the back of their recent results, this could turn out to be an entertaining clash as both teams look to impress under new managers. With that in mind, however, we feel that a hard-earned draw may be played out, one which may be deemed satisfactory by both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
41.69% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 31.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)54.05% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)75.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.46% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)31.66% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)68.08% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.68%
    Luton Town 31.58%
    Draw 26.74%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
52.6%
Draw
42.1%
Luton Town
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Clark (44')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
QPR
3-1
Luton
Austin (20'), Johansen (60'), Adomah (90')
Austin (1')
Dewsbury-Hall (43')
Rea (45')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Luton
0-2
QPR
Austin (39'), Bonne (88')
Bonne (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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