Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 1
Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Osho (40'), Lockyer (48')
Osho (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pukki (69')
Gibbs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Norwich City

With both managers facing a different kind of pressure in this contest, it remains to be seen how they will approach such a match. Norwich are the favourites, however, and we feel that the Canaries will finish strongly to record an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Norwich City
42.78% ( 0.17)	26.61% ( -0.16)	30.61% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14% (

0.6)

53.86% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68% (

0.5)

75.32% (

-0.51)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

0.36)

24.94% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

0.5)

59.57% (

-0.5)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75% (

0.3)

32.25% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25% (

0.34)

68.75% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 42.78%

Norwich City 30.61%

Draw 26.61%

Luton Town	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.61%