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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 2
Watford

Ince (66' pen.), Hendrick (80')
Mbengue (32'), Holmes (84'), N'Diaye (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (30'), Porteous (48')
Martins (64'), Kamara (76'), Pedro (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Watford

Reading are in danger of falling into a relegation battle if they do not pick up some Championship wins in the coming weeks, with Ince needing to address their worrying habit of self-destructing in games. Watford will hope some timely new arrivals can help strengthen their position in the playoffs, and we are backing them to earn all three points in Berkshire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
32.44% (-0.501 -0.5) 27.13% (-0.172 -0.17) 40.42% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.558 0.56)55.37% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.455 0.45)76.57% (-0.456 -0.46)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.17% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.63500000000001 0.64)26.87% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.827 0.83)62.18% (-0.826 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Reading 32.44%
    Watford 40.42%
    Draw 27.13%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
27.0%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Reading
2-0
Watford
Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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