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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 2
Watford

Ince (66' pen.), Hendrick (80')
Mbengue (32'), Holmes (84'), N'Diaye (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (30'), Porteous (48')
Martins (64'), Kamara (76'), Pedro (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Watford

Reading are in danger of falling into a relegation battle if they do not pick up some Championship wins in the coming weeks, with Ince needing to address their worrying habit of self-destructing in games. Watford will hope some timely new arrivals can help strengthen their position in the playoffs, and we are backing them to earn all three points in Berkshire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
32.44% (-0.501 -0.5) 27.13% (-0.172 -0.17) 40.42% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.558 0.56)55.37% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.455 0.45)76.57% (-0.456 -0.46)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.17% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.63500000000001 0.64)26.87% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.827 0.83)62.18% (-0.826 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Reading 32.44%
    Watford 40.42%
    Draw 27.13%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
27.0%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Reading
2-0
Watford
Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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