Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

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Reading
2 - 2
Watford

Ince (66' pen.), Hendrick (80')
Mbengue (32'), Holmes (84'), N'Diaye (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sarr (30'), Porteous (48')
Martins (64'), Kamara (76'), Pedro (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Reading
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading are in danger of falling into a relegation battle if they do not pick up some Championship wins in the coming weeks, with Ince needing to address their worrying habit of self-destructing in games. Watford will hope some timely new arrivals can help strengthen their position in the playoffs, and we are backing them to earn all three points in Berkshire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Watford
32.44% ( -0.5)	27.13% ( -0.17)	40.42% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.63% (

0.56)

55.37% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42% (

0.45)

76.57% (

-0.46)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26% (

-0.06)

31.74% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

-0.06)

68.17% (

0.06)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

0.64)

26.87% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

0.83)

62.18% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Reading 32.44%

Watford 40.42%

Draw 27.13%

Reading	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.44%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.42%