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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Rotherham United |
66.8% ( -0.32) | 20.08% ( 0.1) | 13.12% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 46.26% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( 0.05) | 47.36% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% ( 0.04) | 69.58% ( -0.04) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.74% ( -0.08) | 13.26% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.95% ( -0.16) | 40.05% ( 0.16) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.33% ( 0.37) | 46.67% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.76% ( 0.28) | 82.23% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.8% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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