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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Reading logo

Stoke
4 - 0
Reading

Smallbone (11'), Campbell (57'), Brown (80'), Gayle (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 QPR
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Reading

Stoke have not started 2023 in the best fashion and considerable pressure will be on Neil to earn all three points against a Reading side who have been prone to self-destruction away from home. The Royals' squad took a further beating last weekend with injuries to Hutchinson, Carroll and Long, which could contribute to a disappointing result in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawReading
47.67% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 27.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 25.01% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.23% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68% (0.331 0.33)59.32% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (0.254 0.25)79.71% (-0.258 -0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.139 0.14)24.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.193 0.19)59.61% (-0.196 -0.2)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.276 0.28)39.72% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.255 0.25)76.4% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.67%
    Reading 25.01%
    Draw 27.31%
Stoke CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Reading

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
34.6%
Reading
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Joao (2', 57' pen.)
Hutchinson (6')
Wilmot (40')
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Morrison (13'), Harwood-Bellis (63' og.)
Ejaria (30')
Sawyers (44')
Tymon (62'), Harwood-Bellis (71'), Wilmot (90+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Reading
Powell (25'), Brown (28'), Surridge (85')
Swift (26'), Moore (61')
Moore (24'), Laurent (90')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 7, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
0-3
Stoke
Campbell (23'), Fletcher (35'), Brown (90+4')
Thompson (4'), McClean (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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