MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 16:51:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Reading logo

Stoke
4 - 0
Reading

Smallbone (11'), Campbell (57'), Brown (80'), Gayle (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 QPR
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Reading

Stoke have not started 2023 in the best fashion and considerable pressure will be on Neil to earn all three points against a Reading side who have been prone to self-destruction away from home. The Royals' squad took a further beating last weekend with injuries to Hutchinson, Carroll and Long, which could contribute to a disappointing result in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawReading
47.67% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 27.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 25.01% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.23% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68% (0.331 0.33)59.32% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (0.254 0.25)79.71% (-0.258 -0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.139 0.14)24.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.193 0.19)59.61% (-0.196 -0.2)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.276 0.28)39.72% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.255 0.25)76.4% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.67%
    Reading 25.01%
    Draw 27.31%
Stoke CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Reading

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
34.6%
Reading
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Joao (2', 57' pen.)
Hutchinson (6')
Wilmot (40')
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Morrison (13'), Harwood-Bellis (63' og.)
Ejaria (30')
Sawyers (44')
Tymon (62'), Harwood-Bellis (71'), Wilmot (90+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Reading
Powell (25'), Brown (28'), Surridge (85')
Swift (26'), Moore (61')
Moore (24'), Laurent (90')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 7, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
0-3
Stoke
Campbell (23'), Fletcher (35'), Brown (90+4')
Thompson (4'), McClean (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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