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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Cardiff City |
62.16% ( -0.02) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 16.14% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( 0.12) | 48.22% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( 0.11) | 70.37% ( -0.1) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.03) | 14.96% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% ( 0.06) | 43.38% ( -0.05) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.13% ( 0.12) | 42.87% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.82% ( 0.11) | 79.18% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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