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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
2 - 3
Swansea

Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Rinomhota (58'), Kipre (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Manning (45+1'), Ntcham (50'), Fulton (55'), Cooper (57'), Piroe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

With Swansea having finally got a win under their belts last time out, it remains to be seen how they will fare in their next fixture. Although Cardiff are the favourites for this contest, we feel that Martin's men may do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
33.93% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.05% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.02% (0.431 0.43)
Both teams to score 53.75% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-0.073 -0.07)50.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-0.064 -0.06)72.55% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.3 -0.3)28.41% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (-0.382 -0.38)64.16% (0.386 0.39)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.196 0.2)24.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.268 0.27)59.55% (-0.263 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.93%
    Swansea City 40.02%
    Draw 26.05%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
63.2%
Draw
26.3%
Swansea City
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
Swansea
3-0
Cardiff
Paterson (29'), Piroe (60'), Bidwell (74')
Manning (63')

Bacuna (26'), Vaulks (90+1')
Mar 20, 2021 5.30pm
Swansea
0-1
Cardiff
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Swansea

Morrison (18'), Moore (35'), Ralls (46')
Ralls (67')
Lowe (6', 72')
Bennett (14'), Guehi (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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