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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
Allsop (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Bristol City

Despite a defeat last time out against Norwich, Cardiff are looking significantly improved under Lamouchi and will view this Severnside derby as a good opportunity to further distance themselves from the bottom three. Bristol endured arguably the hardest workout in English football against Manchester City on Tuesday night, and going toe-to-toe with Pep Guardiola's side should set them up well for a return to Championship action this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.016000000000005 0.02)37.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.98%
    Bristol City 26.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
32.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bristol City
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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