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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
Allsop (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-3 Man City
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Bristol City

 Despite a defeat last time out against Norwich, Cardiff are looking significantly improved under Lamouchi and will view this Severnside derby as a good opportunity to further distance themselves from the bottom three. Bristol endured arguably the hardest workout in English football against Manchester City on Tuesday night, and going toe-to-toe with Pep Guardiola's side should set them up well for a return to Championship action this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.016000000000005 0.02)37.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.98%
    Bristol City 26.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
32.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bristol City
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
Cardiff
0-1
Bristol City

Pack (50')
Martin (2')
Martin (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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