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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
Allsop (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Bristol City

Despite a defeat last time out against Norwich, Cardiff are looking significantly improved under Lamouchi and will view this Severnside derby as a good opportunity to further distance themselves from the bottom three. Bristol endured arguably the hardest workout in English football against Manchester City on Tuesday night, and going toe-to-toe with Pep Guardiola's side should set them up well for a return to Championship action this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.016000000000005 0.02)37.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.98%
    Bristol City 26.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
32.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bristol City
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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