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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sunderland


Ng (59'), Kipre (75'), Etete (76'), Rinomhota (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (60')
Neill (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-4 Hull City
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Sunderland

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, as both sides are in desperate need of the win. Sunderland will be the favourites, but Cardiff were excellent at Blackpool last time out, so we can see the Welsh team securing a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
35.35% (0.409 0.41) 26.87% (0.273 0.27) 37.77% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-1.077 -1.08)53.88% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.912 -0.91)75.34% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.271 -0.27)29.1% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.336 -0.34)65.03% (0.339 0.34)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)27.66% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-1.164 -1.16)63.21% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 35.35%
    Sunderland 37.77%
    Draw 26.87%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.339 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
26.2%
Draw
38.1%
Sunderland
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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