Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sunderland

Ng (59'), Kipre (75'), Etete (76'), Rinomhota (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cirkin (60')
Neill (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 4-4 Hull City
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Sunderland

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, as both sides are in desperate need of the win. Sunderland will be the favourites, but Cardiff were excellent at Blackpool last time out, so we can see the Welsh team securing a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Sunderland
35.35% ( 0.41)	26.87% ( 0.27)	37.77% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.11% (

-1.08)

53.88% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.66% (

-0.91)

75.34% (

0.91)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.27)

29.1% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.34)

65.03% (

0.34)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.89)

27.66% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79% (

-1.16)

63.21% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 35.35%

Sunderland 37.77%

Draw 26.87%

Cardiff City	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.77%