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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-0 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
28.42% | 29.51% | 42.06% |
Both teams to score 41.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.31% | 64.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.32% | 83.67% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.21% | 39.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.54% | 76.46% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% | 30.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% | 66.67% |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 12.12% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 14.4% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-3 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |