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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 29, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Derby logo

Birmingham
0 - 4
Derby

FT(HT: 0-3)
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')

The Match

Match Report

Three goals in 10 first-half minutes did the damage at St Andrew's, with Jason Knight scoring late on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
32.22%29.48%38.31%
Both teams to score 43.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.36%63.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.07%82.93%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35%68.65%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.22%
    Derby County 38.3%
    Draw 29.47%
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 13.22%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham City
44.7%
Draw
24.5%
Derby County
30.9%
94
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Derby
3-1
Birmingham
Bennett (53'), Wilson (55'), Marriott (73')
Jutkiewicz (10')
Camp (51'), Gardner (65'), Morrison (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Derby
Russell (19'), Vydra (56'), Weimann (89')
Davies (33'), Russell (73'), Weimann (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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