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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
49.81% ( 0.12) | 26.5% ( -0.04) | 23.68% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.56% ( 0.09) | 57.43% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% ( 0.07) | 78.24% ( -0.07) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.09) | 23.15% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( 0.13) | 57.02% ( -0.13) |
Huddersfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.11% ( -0.03) | 39.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.45% ( -0.02) | 76.55% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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