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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Stoke logo

Sheff Utd
3 - 1
Stoke

Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Bogle (61'), Egan (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Powell (45+1')
Laurent (56'), Souttar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Stoke City

Stoke find themselves in a tough run of form heading into a particularly tricky test away at one of the league's strongest sides, and even with the Blades lacking a number of key players, we can only anticipate them once again triumphing on home turf on Saturday, with Ndiaye in particular expected to cause problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
58.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 18.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)48.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.064 -0.06)70.61% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)16.2% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)45.68% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 58.68%
    Stoke City 18.6%
    Draw 22.71%
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Stoke

Sheffield United
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Stoke City
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Fosu (62')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Stoke
2-2
Sheff Utd
Vokes (19'), Shawcross (69')
Woods (57')
Dowell (48'), Stevens (77')
Fleck (43')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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