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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Stoke logo

Sheff Utd
3 - 1
Stoke

Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Bogle (61'), Egan (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Powell (45+1')
Laurent (56'), Souttar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Stoke City

Stoke find themselves in a tough run of form heading into a particularly tricky test away at one of the league's strongest sides, and even with the Blades lacking a number of key players, we can only anticipate them once again triumphing on home turf on Saturday, with Ndiaye in particular expected to cause problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
58.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 18.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)48.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.064 -0.06)70.61% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)16.2% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)45.68% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 58.68%
    Stoke City 18.6%
    Draw 22.71%
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Stoke

Sheffield United
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Stoke City
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Fosu (62')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Stoke
2-2
Sheff Utd
Vokes (19'), Shawcross (69')
Woods (57')
Dowell (48'), Stevens (77')
Fleck (43')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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