Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 0
Stoke

Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Middlesbrough	0	0	0
11	Millwall	0	0	0
12	Norwich City	0	0	0

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Sheffield United	0	0	0
18	Stoke City	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0

We said: Millwall 1-1 Stoke City

Millwall are the draw specialists in the Championship, and we would not be surprised to see another stalemate at The Den on Saturday. The Lions are more likely to finish higher than their forthcoming opponents this season, but there is little to split these sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
46.08% ( -0.21)	27.65% ( 0.02)	26.27% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.31% (

0.04)

59.68% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20% (

0.03)

80% (

-0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08% (

-0.09)

25.91% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09% (

-0.12)

60.91% (

0.12)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19% (

0.19)

38.81% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

0.18)

75.54% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Millwall 46.08%

Stoke City 26.27%

Draw 27.64%

Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.27%