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EFL Cup
Middlesbrough logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Barnsley

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-0)
Benson (90+3')
McCarthy (66'), Odour (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:
Last Game: QPR 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Barnsley

Last Six:
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Barnsley

 Middlesbrough are yet to set the word alight in the Championship but will be hoping for more joy in the EFL Cup against third-tier opposition this weekend. Barnsley will fancy their chances of causing an upset, but we can see the hosts coming out on top with a slender victory to open their account for the new season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
54.91% (-0.582 -0.58) 24.38% (0.283 0.28) 20.71% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.395 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (-0.75 -0.75)52.4% (0.752 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.647 -0.65)74.08% (0.652 0.65)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.504 -0.5)18.99% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)50.54% (0.852 0.85)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (-0.111 -0.11)39.99% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (-0.101 -0.1)76.64% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.89%
    Barnsley 20.71%
    Draw 24.38%
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.075 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.71%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Barnsley

Middlesbrough
77.1%
Draw
8.6%
Barnsley
14.3%
70
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
3-2
Middlesbrough
Andersen (7'), Bassi (16', 54')
Vita (62'), Kitching (72'), Collins (79')
Sporar (61' pen.), Kitching (90+5' og.)
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Barnsley
Sporar (20'), Crooks (87')
Peltier (73')

Moon (86')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Middlesbrough
Mowatt (62'), Dike (76')
Mowatt (31')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Barnsley
Howson (45+2'), Akpom (48')
Tavernier (9'), Morsy (27'), Howson (52'), McNair (61'), Saville (68'), Bettinelli (90+2')
Woodrow (89' pen.)
Styles (49'), Simoes (90+3')
Sep 15, 2020 6pm
Middlesbrough
0-2
Barnsley

Morsy (67'), Wood (84')
Schmidt (22'), Williams (34')
Halme (81')
rhs 2.0
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