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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bae (45')
Conway (78'), Moran (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Forss (20'), Azaz (52'), Conway (73')
Borges (75'), Conway (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough's season is on a distinct downward trajectory, and they will not turn it around against an improving Stoke side. While far from the finished article, the Potters are showing signs of life under Mark Robins and should extend their unbeaten steak on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.38% (0.101 0.1) 25.52% (-0.041 -0.04) 40.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (0.202 0.2)48.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (0.184 0.18)70.42% (-0.181 -0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.161 0.16)26.99% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.208 0.21)62.34% (-0.205 -0.2)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.061999999999998 0.06)23.81% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (0.087000000000003 0.09)57.99% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 34.38%
    Middlesbrough 40.1%
    Draw 25.51%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.38%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
59.1%
Draw
13.6%
Middlesbrough
27.3%
66
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Middlesbrough
2-0
Stoke
Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
Second Round
Middlesbrough
0-5
Stoke
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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