Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke1 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
51
We said: Stoke City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough's season is on a distinct downward trajectory, and they will not turn it around against an improving Stoke side. While far from the finished article, the Potters are showing signs of life under Mark Robins and should extend their unbeaten steak on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
34.38% ( 0.1) | 25.52% ( -0.04) | 40.1% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( 0.2) | 48.28% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( 0.18) | 70.42% ( -0.18) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.16) | 26.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.66% ( 0.21) | 62.34% ( -0.2) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( 0.06) | 23.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.01% ( 0.09) | 57.99% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 34.38%
Middlesbrough 40.1%
Draw 25.51%
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.38% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.1% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Stoke City
59.1%Draw
13.6%Middlesbrough
27.3%66
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
