Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
We said: Sunderland 2-1 Bristol City
With Bristol City having avoided defeat since the back end of December, they are playing with enough belief to earn a positive result versus most teams in the second tier. However, we fancy a Sunderland side spurred on by their home support to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.5% . A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.89% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.24%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.41%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood .
Result Sunderland Draw Bristol City 53.5% ( -0.37) 23.61% ( 0.14) 22.89% ( 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.17)
53.12% ( -0.37) 46.88% ( 0.37)
30.87% ( -0.34) 69.13% ( 0.34)
82.54% ( -0.27) 17.46% ( 0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.08% ( -0.47) 47.92% ( 0.47)
65.26% ( -0) 34.74%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Sunderland 53.5%
Bristol City 22.89%
Draw 23.61%
Sunderland Draw Bristol City 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 53.5% 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.61% 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.89%
How you voted: Sunderland vs Bristol City
Sunderland
Draw
Bristol City
30
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 08:56:45
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