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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Bristol City

Sunderland
1 - 1
Bristol City

Clarke (59')
O'Nien (82'), Alese (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wells (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Wigan
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Bristol City

With Bristol City having avoided defeat since the back end of December, they are playing with enough belief to earn a positive result versus most teams in the second tier. However, we fancy a Sunderland side spurred on by their home support to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawBristol City
53.5% (-0.365 -0.37) 23.61% (0.142 0.14) 22.89% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.368 -0.37)46.88% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.344 -0.34)69.13% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.268 -0.27)17.46% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-0.47 -0.47)47.92% (0.47 0.47)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.47%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 53.5%
    Bristol City 22.89%
    Draw 23.61%
SunderlandDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 22.89%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Bristol City

Sunderland
76.7%
Draw
6.7%
Bristol City
16.7%
30
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
2-3
Sunderland
Weimann (10'), Martin (51')
Williams (27'), Sykes (58')
Simms (4', 53'), Stewart (72')
Evans (1'), Cirkin (20')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Bristol City
3-3
Sunderland
Flint (5'), Diedhiou (31', 37')
Smith (45'), Diedhiou (57'), Bryan (81')
Brownhill (70' og.), McGeady (81'), Pack (90' og.)
Jones (72')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Bristol City
Grabban (45')
Ndong (27'), Jones (64')
Reid (28'), Djuric (73')
Reid (83'), Pack (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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