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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
41.06% ( 0.57) | 26.79% ( -0.03) | 32.14% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.01) | 54.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0) | 75.53% ( 0) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( 0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( 0.4) | 60.95% ( -0.4) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( -0.37) | 31.3% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( -0.43) | 67.66% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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