Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (59')
Cooper (32'), Bennett (37'), Saville (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cirkin (81')
Hume (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland

Millwall are still in the playoff hunt, but manager Rowett will realise his side have tended to tail off towards the end of recent campaigns, so the pressure is on the hosts to keep earning points this month. Sunderland will have an exciting look to them with youngster Gelhardt leading the line, but the Black Cats might struggle physically in attacking areas against a Lions side that impose themselves on their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Sunderland
46.13% ( -0.06)	26.52% ( -0)	27.36% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.27% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.99% (

0.05)

55.01% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

0.04)

76.28% (

-0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

-0.01)

23.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02% (

-0.02)

57.98% (

0.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

0.08)

35.33% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.08)

72.09% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Millwall 46.12%

Sunderland 27.36%

Draw 26.52%

Millwall	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.12%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.36%