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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Reading |
55.75% ( 0.79) | 23.73% ( -0.32) | 20.52% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 50.27% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.95% ( 0.71) | 50.05% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.97% ( 0.63) | 72.03% ( -0.63) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.2% ( 0.56) | 17.79% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.48% ( 0.96) | 48.51% ( -0.95) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.16% ( -0.08) | 38.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.43% ( -0.07) | 75.57% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.45% Total : 20.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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