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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Reading |
55.75% ( 0.79) | 23.73% ( -0.32) | 20.52% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 50.27% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.95% ( 0.71) | 50.05% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.97% ( 0.63) | 72.03% ( -0.63) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.2% ( 0.56) | 17.79% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.48% ( 0.96) | 48.51% ( -0.95) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.16% ( -0.08) | 38.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.43% ( -0.07) | 75.57% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.45% Total : 20.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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