FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays

Feb 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 3
Fulham

Clarke (77'), Bennette (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wilson (8'), Pereira (59'), Kurzawa (82')
Duffy (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Fulham
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Fulham

Having held Chelsea to a goalless draw at Stamford Bridge last time out, Fulham should book their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup on Wednesday, although Sunderland are expected to push the Premier League side all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Fulham
38.65% ( 2.03)	25.43% ( 0.31)	35.92% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.33% (

-1.43)

47.67% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-1.33)

69.86% (

1.33)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.45)

24.29% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

0.63)

58.67% (

-0.62)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

-1.93)

25.79% (

1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-2.69)

60.75% (

2.7)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 38.65%

Fulham 35.92%

Draw 25.42%

Sunderland	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.65%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.92%