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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.07% ( -0.2) | 26.23% ( 0.12) | 37.7% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( -0.49) | 51.16% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0.43) | 73.01% ( 0.44) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( -0.35) | 27.36% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% ( -0.46) | 62.82% ( 0.47) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( -0.18) | 26.42% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( -0.24) | 61.58% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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