Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
5 - 0
Southampton

Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mara (35'), Adams (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Southampton

With Sunderland seemingly growing in confidence, this could prove to be a more competitive game than the table would have you believe. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Southampton's ability to score and to score late, leading us to back a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Southampton
44.27% ( 0.03)	23.79% ( 0)	31.94% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 60.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9% (

-0.01)

41.1% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.51% (

-0.01)

63.49% (

0.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

0.01)

18.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

0.02)

50.28% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

-0.02)

25.01% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32% (

-0.04)

59.68% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 44.27%

Southampton 31.94%

Draw 23.79%

Sunderland	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.42% Total : 44.27%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.94%