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Championship header 2

Championship
Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Southampton logo

Sunderland
5 - 0
Southampton

Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mara (35'), Adams (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Southampton

 With Sunderland seemingly growing in confidence, this could prove to be a more competitive game than the table would have you believe. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Southampton's ability to score and to score late, leading us to back a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
44.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)25.01% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.27%
    Southampton 31.94%
    Draw 23.79%
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Southampton

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Southampton
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-4
Southampton

Khazri (94')
Gabbiadini (30', 45'), Denayer (89' og.), Long (92')
> Match Report
Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm
Round Four
Southampton
1-0
Sunderland
Boufal (66')
Olomola (61')

Khazri (45'), Jones (64'), Ndong (94')
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Sunderland
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Sunderland
Van Dijk (93')
Bertrand (8'), van Dijk (31')
Fonte (79')
Defoe (85')
Khazri (11')
> Match Report
Nov 7, 2015 3pm
Sunderland
0-1
Southampton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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