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Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Sunderland
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Crewe Alexandra

Sunderland
1 - 2
Crewe

Rigg (64')
Batth (16'), Bennette (31'), Pritchard (33'), Ba (50')
FT
(aet)
Offord (45+1')
Powell (13'), Holicek (83'), Lunt (84'), Offord (89')
Crewe win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Sunderland and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Mansfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Sunderland 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Even with their ludicrously short turnaround between fixtures, Sunderland should still possess too much quality for their opponents on Tuesday. The Black Cats have aspirations of reaching the Premier League by the end of the campaign, whereas Crewe are very much focused on remaining in the Football League, showcasing the contrast in expectations at both clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.46%).

Result
SunderlandDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.39%22.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.25% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)66.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02)43.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (0.020999999999994 0.02)36.51% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)73.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 58.38%
    Crewe Alexandra 19.56%
    Draw 22.04%
SunderlandDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Crewe

Sunderland
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
2-0
Crewe
Neill (84'), Roberts (89')
Gooch (29'), Wright (74'), Cirkin (75'), Dajaku (90+1'), Clarke (90+6')

Williams (66'), Lundstram (68'), Lowery (76')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
0-4
Sunderland

Murphy (75')
Thomas (25' og.), Stewart (32', 55'), Dajaku (73')
Winchester (51'), Cirkin (53')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crewe
2-2
Sunderland
Porter (30'), Lowery (38')
Jones (75'), Maguire (90+7')
McFadzean (36')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 7
Sunderland
1-0
Crewe
Wyke (45+1')

Jaaskelainen (66'), Ng (71'), Wintle (90+1')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Crewe
0-1
Sunderland
Lunt (42'), Bell (44'), Varney (63')
Caldwell (45'), Whitley (73'), Whitehead (90')
rhs 2.0
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