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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
33.3% (![]() | 27.95% | 38.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.73% (![]() | 58.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.1% | 78.9% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% (![]() | 32.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% (![]() | 69.18% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% (![]() | 29.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% (![]() | 65.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |