Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: QPR 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Watford 2-1 Birmingham City
Watford are in desperate need of three points in order to keep their promotion hopes alive, and we expect a response out of the Hornets following their defeat at QPR on Saturday. Birmingham will be in a relaxed mood following their much-needed victory over Rotherham and subsequent movement away from the relegation zone, but we believe this could lead to a sub-par display at Vicarage Road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Birmingham City |
53.09% ( 0.01) | 24.61% ( -0) | 22.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.01) | 51.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0) | 73.39% ( -0) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( 0.01) | 19.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.8% ( 0.01) | 51.2% ( -0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.07% | 37.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.3% ( -0) | 74.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 53.08%
Birmingham City 22.3%
Draw 24.61%
| Watford | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.3% |
How you voted: Watford vs Birmingham
Watford
76.5%Draw
11.8%Birmingham City
11.8%85
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Nov 4, 2014 7.45pm
